Both Clark and Washoe County had their biggest early voting days on Monday, which of course looks to be great news for Barack Obama.
More importantly, my wife, sister-in-law and I attended Michelle Obama's rally in North Las Vegas tonight, where we were invited to sit behind the stage! If you've ever wanted to see HigherPie in the flesh, and I know you have, see below.
Okay, in truth, this is way more important:
Clark County (Las Vegas/Henderson) takeaways:
- 807,271 voters are registered in Clark County. 34.0% have already voted.
- Democrats outnumber Republicans 382,807 to 259,975 (122,832 more), or by a 1.47:1 ratio. Democrats have out-voted Republicans 1.70:1 thus far in Clark.
- 37.9% of registered Democrats have voted compared to 32.9% registered Republicans.
Washoe County (Reno/Sparks) takeaways:
- 34,061 Washoe residents voted in the 14 day early voting period in 2004. 58,959 have voted in 10 of 14 days this year.
- Democrats only hold a 1,286 registered voter lead in Washoe, but about 10,249 more Democrats have voted than Republicans thus far.
- There are a total of 231,470 registered voters in Washoe. 25.5% of them have already voted, not counting absentee voters. (An additional 7.8% have requested absentee ballots.)
- About 4,000 more Repubicans have requested absentee ballots than Democrats. Absentee voters will very likely narrow the overall early vote gap in Washoe significantly. This is reflected in the projections below.
Great, but what do you think the actual vote totals are?
Why just Clark and Washoe?
87% of Nevada's registered voters live in Clark+Washoe. The other 13% are very red, but if Obama can carry ~53+% of Clark+Washoe, he'll win Nevada.
What about other states
You'll have to look elsewhere for analysis (one Kossack can only do so much), but here's a snapshot glimpse at a handful of other early voting states (updated with Colorado disclaimer):
Bonus: Michelle Obama rally!
Here's our girl Michelle. Don't tell my wife, but I think I have a bit of a crush.
And here's me, my wife, and her sister, Ba-rocking the Change signs:
Update - One more:
Update again - my wife says this is her fave: